Wunderlich J, Acuña-Soto R, ALONSO WJ. 2017. Dengue hospitalizations in Brazil: annual wave from West to East and recent increase among children. Epidemiology and Infection, in press.
Guillebaud J, Héraud JM, Razanajatovo NH, Livinski A, ALONSO, WJ. 2017. Both hemispheric influenza vaccine recommendations would have missed near half of the circulating viruses in Madagascar, Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2017 doi: 10.1111/irv.12517.
SCHUCK-PAIM, RJ Taylor, L Simonsen, R Lustig, E Kürüm, CAW Bruhn, 2017. Challenges to estimating vaccine impact using hospitalization data Vaccine 35 (1), 118-124.
WJ ALONSO; D López; C SCHUCK-PAIM. 2017. Popweaver: a program for interpolation and visualization of census and other sparsely collected data. Journal of Population Research 34: 303–311
Ayora-Talavera G, Flores GM, Gómez-Carballo J, González-Losa R, Conde-Ferraez L, Puerto-Solís M, López-Martínez I, Díaz-Quiñonez A, Barrera-Badillo G, Acuna-Soto R, Livinski AA, ALONSO WJ. 2017. Influenza seasonality goes south in the Yucatan Peninsula: The case for a different influenza vaccine calendar in this Mexican region. Vaccine 35 (36), 4738-4744
Caini S, WJ ALONSO, CEG Séblain, F Schellevis, J Paget. 2017. The spatiotemporal characteristics of influenza A and B in the WHO European Region: can one define influenza transmission zones in Europe? Eurosurveillance 22 (35).
S Caini, WJ ALONSO, A Balmaseda, A Bruno, P Bustos, L Castillo, ... Paget, J. and the Global Influenza Study Group. 2017. Characteristics of seasonal influenza A and B in Latin America: Influenza surveillance data from ten countries. PloS ONE 12 (3), e0174592
Baker, J.M, ALONSO, WJ. 2017. Rotavirus vaccination takes seasonal signature of childhood diarrhea back to pre-sanitation era in Brazil. Journal of Infection, in press.
Benjamin JJ McCormick, Pierre J. Alonso, WJ ALONSO. 2017. Improvements to water access have not exacerbated vector-borne disease in Brazil. PLOS Currents Outbreaks, in press. CAW Bruhn, S Hetterich, C SCHUCK-PAIM, E Kürüm, RJ Taylor, R Lustig. 2017. Estimating the population-level impact of vaccines using synthetic controls. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 114(7): 1524–1529
CAW Bruhn, C SCHUCK-PAIM, E Kürüm, RJ Taylor, L Simonsen et al 2017. Improving assessments of population-level vaccine impact. Epidemiology 28(2):233-236.
Kurum, E; Warren, JL.; SCHUCK-PAIM, C; Lustig, R; Lewnard, JA.; Fuentes, R; Bruhn, CAW.; Taylor, RJ.; Simonsen, L; Weinberger, DM. 2017 Bayesian model averaging with change points to assess the impact of vaccination and public health interventions. Epidemiology: doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000000719
Warren JL, K Shioda; E Kurum; C. SCHUCK-PAIM; R Lustig; RJ Taylor; L Simonsen; DM Weinberger. 2017. Impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines against pneumonia hospitalizations in high- and low-income sub-populations in Brazil. Clinical Infectious Diseases, 65, 1813–1818
Matias G, R Taylor, F Haguinet, SCHUCK-PAIM, C, R Lustig, et al 2017. Estimates of hospitalization attributable to influenza and RSV in the US during 1997–2009, by age and risk status. BMC Public Health 17 (1), 271
G Matias, RJ Taylor, F Haguinet, C SCHUCK-PAIM, RL Lustig, DM Fleming. 2016. Modelling estimates of age-specific influenza-related hospitalisation and mortality in the United Kingdom BMC public health 16 (1), 481
S Taylor, RJ Taylor, RL Lustig, C SCHUCK-PAIM, F Haguinet, DJ Webb, et al. 2016. Modelling estimates of the burden of respiratory syncytial virus infection in children in the UK. BMJ open 6 (6), e009337
DM Fleming, RJ Taylor, F Haguinet, C SCHUCK-PAIM, J Logie, DJ Webb, et al. 2016. Influenza-attributable burden in United Kingdom primary care. Epidemiology and infection 144 (03), 537-547
C SCHUCK-PAIM, D López, L Simonsen, WJ ALONSO 2016. Unintended Pregnancies in Brazil – A Challenge for the Recommendation to Delay Pregnancy Due to Zika. PLoS Currents Outbreaks 1 (10.1371/currents.outbreaks.7038a6813f734)
WJ ALONSO, MA Rabaa, R Giglio, MA Miller, C SCHUCK-PAIM. 2015 Modeling the Impact of Alternative Immunization Strategies: Using Matrices as Memory Lanes. PLoS ONE
WJ ALONSO, BJJ McCormick, MA Miller, C SCHUCK-PAIM, GR Asrar. 2015. Beyond crystal balls: crosscutting solutions in global health to prepare for an unpredictable future. BMC Public Health 15
WJ ALONSO. 2015. The "Hyper-Visible World" hypothesis for the dazzling colours of coral reef fish. F1000 Research 4 (115)
WJ ALONSO, J Guillebaud, C Viboud, NH Razanajatovo, A Orelle, SZ Zhou et al 2015. Influenza seasonality in Madagascar: the mysterious African free‐runner. Influenza and other respiratory viruses 9 (3), 101-109
WJ ALONSO, C Yu, C Viboud, SA Richard, C SCHUCK-PAIM, L Simonsen et al 2015. A global map of hemispheric influenza vaccine recommendations based on local patterns of viral circulation. Nature Scientific reports 5.
WJ ALONSO, SZ Zhou, C SCHUCK-PAIM. 2015. The first clinical trial and controlled biological experiments. Hektoen International Journal 7 (3)
VE Pitzer, C Viboud, WJ ALONSO, T Wilcox, CJ Metcalf, CA Steiner. 2015. Environmental Drivers of the Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Respiratory Syncytial Virus in the United States. PLOS Pathogens 11 (1), e1004591
WJ ALONSO, MA Rabaa, R Giglio, MA Miller, C SCHUCK-PAIM. 2015. Modeling the Impact of Alternative Immunization Strategies: Using Matrices as Memory Lanes. PloS one 10 (10), e0141147
DM Fleming, RJ Taylor, RL Lustig, C SCHUCK-PAIM F Haguinet, DJ Webb, et al. 2016. Modelling estimates of the burden of Respiratory Syncytial virus infection in adults and the elderly in the United Kingdom. BMC infectious diseases 15 (1), 443
C SCHUCK-PAIM. 2015. Reply: Increasing disparities between resource inputs and outcomes, as measured by certain health deliverables, in biomedical research. Pubmed Commons, to Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112, 11335-40
WJ ALONSO, C SCHUCK-PAIM, GR Asrar. 2014 Global health and natural disaster alerts: preparing mobile phones to endure the unthinkable. Earth Perspectives 1 (24), 1-6
WJ ALONSO, BJJ McCormick, C SCHUCK-PAIM. 2014. Influenza and specific humidity in French Guiana: when analytical simplicity is golden. Journal of Infection.
ARR Freitas, WJ ALONSO. 2014. Unfortunately, pregnancy did increase the risk of death during the 2009 pandemic. British Medical Journal 347 (f5061)
Simonsen L, Taylor, RJ, SCHUCK-PAIM C; Lustig, R, Haber, M. Klugman, K. 2014. Effect of 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on admissions to hospital 2 years after its introduction in the USA: a time series analysis. Lancet Respiratory Medicine, doi: 10.1016/S2213-2600(14)70032-3.
Matias G, Taylor R, Haguinet F, SCHUCK-PAIM C, Lustig R, Shinde V. 2014. Estimates of mortality attributable to influenza and RSV in the United States during 1997 – 2009 by influenza type or subtype, age, and risk status. Influenza and Other Respiratory Virus infections , in press.
SCHUCK-PAIM C; Taylor, RJ; Lindley, D; Klugman, K; Simonsen, L. 2013. Use of near-real-time medical claims data to generate timely vaccine coverage estimates in the US: The dynamics of PCV13 vaccine uptake. Vaccine 31: 5983–5988.
H Yu, WJ ALONSO, L Feng, Y Tan, Y Shu, W Yang, C Viboud. 2013. Characterization of Regional Influenza Seasonality Patterns in China and Implications for Vaccination Strategies: Spatio-Temporal Modeling of Surveillance Data. PLoSMedicine 10 (11), e1001552
DM Weinberger, N Givon-Lavi, Y Shemer-Avni, J Bar-Ziv, WJ ALONSO et al. . 2013. Influence of pneumococcal vaccines and respiratory syncytial virus on alveolar pneumonia, Israel. Emerging infectious diseases 19 (7), 1084
MM Patel, VE Pitzer, WJ ALONSO, D Vera, B Lopman, J Tate, C Viboud, et al. 2013. Global Seasonality of Rotavirus Disease. The Pediatric infectious disease journal 32 (4), e134-e147
JD Tamerius, J Shaman, WJ ALONSO, K Bloom-Feshbach, CK Uejio, et al. 2013. Environmental Predictors of Seasonal Influenza Epidemics across Temperate and Tropical Climates. PLoS Pathogens 9 (3), e1003194
K Bloom-Feshbach, WJ ALONSO, V Charu, J Tamerius, L Simonsen, et al. 2013. Latitudinal Variations in Seasonal Activity of Influenza and Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV): A Global Comparative Review. PLOS ONE 8 (2), e54445
WJ ALONSO, C SCHUCK-PAIM, DG Shanks, FEA Almeida. 2013. A alta mortalidade da pandemia espanhola na divisão naval em operações de guerra em 1918. Navigator 9 (17), 11-21
WJ ALONSO, C SCHUCK-PAIM. 2013. What can the 2009 influenza outbreak teach us about the risk of a severe pandemic? The Madagascar experience. Epidemiol Infect 18, 1-2
C SCHUCK-PAIM, GD Shanks, FEA Almeida, WJ ALONSO. 2013. Exceptionally high mortality rate of the 1918 influenza pandemic in the Brazilian naval fleet. Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses 7 (1), 27-34.
WJ ALONSO, R Acuña-Soto, C SCHUCK-PAIM, JG Breman. 2012. The Fate of Historical Death Certificates: The Silent Burning of Another Library of Alexandria. American Journal of Public Health 102 (12), e1-e2
Shapiro, M, SCHUCK-PAIM, C and Kacelnik, A. 2012. Risk sensitivity for amounts of and delay to rewards: adaptation for uncertainty or by-product of reward rate maximising? Behavioral Processes, 89(2):104-14.
WJ ALONSO, BJJ McCormick. 2012. EPIPOI: A user-friendly analytical tool for the extraction and visualization of temporal parameters from epidemiological time series. BMC public health 12 (1), 982
WJ ALONSO, FC Nascimento, J Shapiro, C SCHUCK-PAIM. 2012. Facing ubiquitous viruses: when hand washing is not enough. Clinical Infectious Diseases.
TM Paiva, MA Ishida, MA Benega, CRA Constantino, DBB Silva, WJ ALONSO. 2012. Shift in the timing of respiratory syncytial virus circulation in a subtropical megalopolis: Implications for immunoprophylaxis. Journal of Medical Virology 84 (11), 1825-1830
C SCHUCK-PAIM, C Viboud, L Simonsen, MA Miller, FEA Moura, WJ ALONSO. 2012. Were Equatorial Regions Less Affected by the 2009 Influenza Pandemic? The Brazilian Experience. PloS one 7 (8), e41918
BJJ McCormick, WJ ALONSO, MA Miller. 2012. An exploration of spatial patterns of seasonal diarrhoeal morbidity in Thailand. Epidemiology and infection 140 (07), 1236-1243.
WJ ALONSO, BJ Laranjeira, SAR Pereira, CMGD Florencio, EC Moreno, et al. 2012. Comparative Dynamics, Morbidity and Mortality Burden of Pediatric Viral Respiratory Infections in an Equatorial City. The Pediatric infectious disease journal31 (1), e9.
WJ ALONSO, R Acuña-Soto, R Giglio, J Nuckols, S Leyk, C SCHUCK-PAIM, et al. 2012. Spatio-temporal patterns of diarrhoeal mortality in Mexico. Epidemiology and infection 140 (01), 91-99.
WJ ALONSO, FC Nascimento, R Acuna-Soto, C SCHUCK-PAIM, MA Miller. 2011. The 1918 influenza pandemic in Florianopolis: A subtropical city in Brazil. Vaccine 29, B16-B20
J Tamerius, MI Nelson, SZ Zhou, C Viboud, MA Miller, WJ ALONSO. 2011. Global influenza seasonality: Reconciling patterns across temperate and tropical regions. Environmental health perspectives 119 (4), 439
A Mondini, RV de Moraes Bronzoni, SH Pereira Nunes, WJ ALONSO. et al. 2010. Spatio-temporal tracking and phylodynamics of a DENV-3 outbreak in a city from Brazil. Cladistics 26 (2), 218-218.
G Chowell, C Viboud, L Simonsen, M Miller, WJ ALONSO. 2010. The reproduction number of seasonal influenza epidemics in Brazil, 1996–2006. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, rspb20091897.
WJ ALONSO, SCHUCK-PAIM 2009. Public preparedness guidance for a severe influenza pandemic in different countries: a qualitative assessment and critical overview. PLoS currents 1.
VE Pitzer, C Viboud, L Simonsen, C Steiner, CA Panozzo, WJ ALONSO, et al. 2009. Demographic variability, vaccination, and the spatiotemporal dynamics of rotavirus epidemics. Science 325 (5938), 290-294.
A Mondini, RV de Moraes Bronzoni, SHP Nunes, FC Neto, E Massad, WJ ALONSO. 2009. Spatio-temporal tracking and phylodynamics of an urban dengue 3 outbreak in Sao Paulo, Brazil. PLoS neglected tropical diseases 3 (5), e448
WA De Mello, TM De Paiva, MA Ishida, MA Benega, MC Dos Santos, WJ ALONSO. 2009. The dilemma of influenza vaccine recommendations when applied to the tropics: the Brazilian case examined under alternative scenarios. PLoS One4 (4), e5095.
ML Nogueira, A Mondini, RVM Bronzoni, WJ ALONSO, E MAssad, E Lazaro, 2008. Spatio-Temporal and Molecular Analyses of a DENV3 Outbreak Show the Dynamics of Dengue Infection (Viral Spread). International Journal of Infectious Diseases 12, e333.
G Chowell, LMA Bettencourt, N Johnson, WJ ALONSO, C Viboud. 2008. The 1918–1919 influenza pandemic in England and Wales: spatial patterns in transmissibility and mortality impact. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 275 (1634), 501-509
LA Kelly-Hope, WJ ALONSO, VD Thiem, DG Canh, DD Anh, H Lee, et al. 2008. Temporal trends and climatic factors associated with bacterial enteric diseases in Vietnam, 1991–2001. Environmental Health Perspectives 116 (1), 7
C SCHUCK-PAIM, WJ ALONSO, EB Ottoni. 2008. Cognition in an ever-changing world: climatic variability is associated with brain size in Neotropical parrots. Brain, Behavior and Evolution 71 (3), 200-215.
SCHUCK-PAIM, C.; Borsari, A., Ottoni, E. Means to an end: Neotropical parrots manage to pull strings to meet their goals. Animal Cognition v.12, p.287-301, 2008
SCHUCK-PAIM, C.; Kacelnik, A. 2007. Choice processes used by animals in multi-alternative decision-making. Behavioral Ecology, v. 18, p.541-550,
WJ ALONSO, C Viboud, L Simonsen, EW Hirano, LZ Daufenbach, MA Miller. 2007. Seasonality of influenza in Brazil: a traveling wave from the Amazon to the subtropics. American journal of epidemiology 165 (12), 1434-1442.
LA Kelly-Hope, WJ ALONSO, VUD Thiem, DD Anh, C DO GIA, H Lee, et al. 2007.Geographical distribution and risk factors associated with enteric diseases in Vietnam. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene 76 (4), 706-712.
R Salm, NV Salles, WJ ALONSO, C SCHUCK-PAIM. 2007. Cross-scale determinants of palm species distribution. Acta Amazonica 37 (1), 17-25.
WJ ALONSO, C SCHUCK-PAIM. 2006. The ‘ghosts’ that pester studies on learning in mosquitoes: guidelines to chase them off. Medical and veterinary entomology 20 (2), 157-165.
C Viboud, WJ ALONSO, L Simonsen. 2006. Influenza in tropical regions. PLoS medicine 3 (4), e89.
Kacelnik A, SCHUCK-PAIM C, Pompilio L. 2006 Inconsistency in animal and human choice. In Is there value in inconsistency? (eds Engel C, Daston L), pp. 377–397. Baden Baden, Germany: Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft.
PL Davis, F Larrous, WJ ALONSO, EC Holmes, H Bourhy. 2006. The evolution and origin of European bat lyssaviruses. Developments in biologicals 125, 255-255.
PL Davis, EC Holmes, F Larrous, WHM Van der Poel, K Tjørnehøj, WJ ALONSO. 2005. Phylogeography, population dynamics, and molecular evolution of European bat lyssaviruses Journal of virology 79 (16), 10487-10497
Salm, R.; Jalles-Filho, E.; SCHUCK-PAIM, C. 2005. A model for the importance of large arborescent palms on the dynamics of seasonally-dry Amazonian forests. Biota Neotropical, v. 5(2),
Marsh, B.; SCHUCK-PAIM, C. Kacelnik, 2004. A. Energetic state during learning affects foraging choices in starlings. Behavioral Ecology, v. 15, p. 396-399,
SCHUCK-PAIM, C.; Pompilio, L. Kacelnik, A. 2004. State-dependent decisions cause economic irrationality in animal choices. Public Library of Science (PLoS-Biology) 12:e402,
WJ ALONSO, TD Wyatt, DW Kelly. 2003. Are vectors able to learn about their hosts? A case study with Aedes aegypti mosquitoes. Memórias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz 98 (5), 665-672
E Fernández-Juricic, WJ ALONSO, C SCHUCK-PAIM. 2002. Peer review to select academic job applicants. Nature 420 (6911), 16-16
WJ ALONSO, C SCHUCK-PAIM. 2002. Sex-ratio conflicts, kin selection, and the evolution of altruism. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 99 (10), 6843-6847
WJ ALONSO, E Fernández-Juricic. 2002. Regional network raises profile of local journals. Nature 415 (6871), 471-472
WJ ALONSO. 2002. Epidemiologia e Etologia no estudo dos agentes infecciosos-uma contaminação mútua desejável. Anais Xx Encontro Anual Etologia, 221-229.
SCHUCK-PAIM, C.; Kacelnik, A. Rationality in risk-sensitive foraging choices by starlings. Animal Behaviour, v. 64, p. 869-879, 2002.
SCHUCK-PAIM, C. Orb-webs as extended phenotypes: web design and size assessment in agonistic conflicts between Nephilengys cruentata females (Araneae, Tetragnathidae). Behavior, v. 37, 2001.
C SCHUCK-PAIM, WJ ALONSO. 2001. Deciding where to settle: conspecific attraction and web site selection in the orb-web spider Nephilengys cruentata. Animal Behaviour 62 (5), 1007-1012
WJ ALONSO, T Lucena, CM Fracasso, HHW Velthuis, et al. 1998. Do Melipona bicolor (Apidae, Meliponinae) workers distinguish relatedness among different physogastric queens? Apidologie 29 (6), 503-512
WJ ALONSO. 1998. The role of kin selection theory on the explanation of biological altruism: a critical review. Journal of Comparative Biology 3 (1), 1-14
AWARDS AND PRIZES
2013. Honorary mention on Science and Technology Prize. Brazilian Ministry of Health
2010. Award for Scientific Merit-SEC2010, International Symposium - Smallpox Eradication after 30 years: Lessons, Legacies and Innovations.
2010. Helio Gelli Pereira Award, Brazilian Society for Virology.
2010. Director's Merit Award (to the MISMS team for outstanding achievement in seasonal and pandemic influenza studies), Fogarty International Center / National Institutes of Health.
2005. First Prize in the Science and Innovation Category - Santander-Universia Award
Origem's research work has been featured at outlets including The Examiner, The Daily Mail, Nature editorial and several magazines and newspapers in Brazil (Folha de São Paulo, Globo G1, CBN). Some excerpts below.